Field updates say at least 4,500 people left Bara, with 1,900 reaching el-Obeid, 60km south. UN officials also warn the territorial scope of the war is widening beyond North Darfur to North Kordofan.

Concentrated Displacement Waves

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) logged 35,620 people displaced across Sheikan, Rahad, Bara, Umm Ruwaba, and Umm Damm Haj Ahmed between October 26–29, with most moving to Ed-Dueim in White Nile state. Local services are under strain as flows continue south.

Bara To El-Obeid Route

The Sudan Doctors Network (SDN) reported “more than 4,500” fleeing Bara; nearly 2,000 reached el-Obeid, about 60km away, while others remain en route facing “severe shortages of food, water, and shelter.” IOM separately noted 1,100 newly departed from Bara within the four-day window counted in its total.

RSF Operations And Precedent

Sudanese authorities cited a recent RSF drone strike on Zareibat Sheikh El Borai that caused casualties, part of recurring confrontations with the army. In July, rights reporting recorded RSF raids and arson in North Kordofan that killed nearly 300 people, including children and pregnant women—underscoring risk patterns around Bara.

El-Fasher Shockwaves

Verified videos showed RSF executions in el-Fasher after the city’s fall; documented killings exceeded 1,500, with 36,000 attempting to flee during the siege’s endgame. UN Assistant Secretary-General Martha Pobee called el-Fasher’s takeover “a significant shift,” adding: “The territorial scope of the conflict is broadening,” with escalations noted in North Kordofan.