NATO has asked Türkiye to contribute F-16 fighter jets to the alliance’s Baltic Air Policing mission several months earlier than originally scheduled, underscoring the pressure on alliance air defenses amid sustained Russian activity near NATO airspace. 

According to people familiar with the matter, the proposed deployment would cover a four-month rotation in Estonia from August through December 2026. 

Türkiye had already been scheduled to deploy aircraft to Romania from December 2026 to March 2027, making the request an acceleration rather than an expansion of Ankara’s existing commitments.

The request comes as NATO steps up defensive posture following repeated Russian violations of alliance airspace, particularly over the Baltic Sea. 

Data cited by Bloomberg show that NATO jet scrambles in the region surged to their highest level since 2022, reaching about 250 cases in 2025, according to figures from the Lithuanian Defense Ministry. These scrambles typically involve intercepting Russian military aircraft or conducting patrols to signal alliance presence.

Ankara has not yet decided how it will respond to the NATO request, the people said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of alliance planning. 

Turkish jets last carried out patrols under the Baltic Air Policing mission in early 2025, indicating that Türkiye remains an active but rotational contributor rather than a permanent presence in the region.

Türkiye’s Defense Ministry declined to comment on the request, while NATO did not immediately respond to an emailed request for clarification. 

The timing places Ankara in a delicate position, balancing alliance solidarity with operational tempo and regional security priorities spanning the Baltics, the Black Sea, and southeastern Europe.

The early request reflects NATO’s assessment that existing rotation schedules may no longer be sufficient to deter or manage airspace incidents. 

Russian air incursions over the Baltic Sea have driven a sharp increase in NATO takeoffs since 2021, with the trend accelerating after 2022. Alliance officials view air policing as a visible and politically salient measure, particularly for frontline states such as Estonia.

Türkiye’s role is also shaped by its broader standing within NATO. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s administration is set to host the next NATO summit in July 2026, a factor that adds diplomatic weight to Ankara’s response. 

Bloomberg noted that Türkiye has recently demonstrated a more assertive air defense posture closer to home as well.

In December, a Turkish F-16 downed an unmanned aerial vehicle over the Black Sea as it approached Turkish airspace. 

Days later, a crashed drone believed to be Russian-made was found in Türkiye’s northwest. 

These incidents occurred amid Ankara’s concerns over security in the Black Sea, including attacks on Russia-linked ships, highlighting the multiple theaters competing for Turkish military attention.