According to the South African Reserve Bank, the tariffs place more than 100,000 jobs at risk in the automotive and farming sectors. Central bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago and top industry groups have voiced concern over the economic fallout. Jendamark Automation, a Gqeberha-based manufacturer, reported losing contracts worth 750 million rand ($42 million) due to the tariffs.

South Africa’s top agricultural lobby warned that the $1.9 billion citrus industry is particularly vulnerable as the levies coincide with the peak harvesting season. Chief economist Wandile Sihlobo emphasized that while diversification is necessary, the U.S. remains an irreplaceable market for South Africa’s farmers in the short term.

U.S. Relations Strained Despite Diplomatic Overtures

Despite the shock of the tariffs, President Ramaphosa said South Africa remains open to dialogue with the United States. Pretoria has been engaging Washington to explore “mutually beneficial” trade options, he said, noting that the U.S. is still South Africa’s second-largest export destination after China.

However, analysts warn the tariffs may undermine South Africa’s G20 ambitions and broader economic recovery strategy. Government officials argue that continental expansion, especially under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), could help shield the economy from external shocks—but only in the medium to long term.