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U.S. Warns Gulf States to Brace for Intense Iran Campaign After Midterms

Washington has warned Gulf Arab states of a possible short, intense military campaign against Iran after the November 3 midterms. Trump is leaning toward major strikes as U.S. forces reinforce regional missile defenses, but no final decision has been made.

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A U.S. Navy F/A-18 fighter jet on the deck of the aircraft carrier USS George Washington, Sept. 14, 2026 - Reuters
28 Oct 2026 · 07:11 GMT · 4 MIN READ
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The U.S. has warned several Gulf Arab governments to prepare for a possible brief but intense military offensive against Iran following the November 3 midterm elections, as President Donald Trump considers a major attack on Tehran, according to The Wall Street Journal.

The warnings, delivered through diplomatic and military channels, come alongside preparations to reinforce U.S. missile defenses, replenish ammunition stocks and ready aircraft for potential combat operations.

Trump has yet to authorize an attack. But he is reportedly inclined toward a substantial post-election operation targeting Iranian infrastructure and nuclear facilities, while leaving open the possibility of a negotiated settlement.

Washington Signals Post-Election Military Campaign

The Wall Street Journal reported on October 28 that U.S. officials had advised several Gulf Arab states to anticipate a potentially concentrated military confrontation after Americans vote on November 3.

The warnings form part of broader U.S. and Israeli preparations for another round of hostilities intended to weaken Iran's remaining military capabilities and increase pressure on Tehran to resume negotiations.

Trump has previously ruled out launching strikes before the midterms, establishing the elections as a key consideration in the timing of any renewed offensive.

Speaking at a rally in Lubbock, Texas, on Tuesday, the president offered another indication that developments involving Iran could be imminent.

"You'll see Iran in a couple of weeks, if you don't mind," Trump told supporters.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sought to distinguish the election timetable from the administration's strategic assessment.

"We're going to have the midterm elections, and nothing will change in terms of President Trump's calculus," Bessent said on October 26.

Pentagon Reinforces Missile Defenses and Strike Capabilities

The U.S. military is shifting additional air-defense assets toward the Middle East while adjusting its regional deployments to reduce exposure to Iranian retaliation.

A Patriot missile-defense system is being transferred from Fort Bliss, Texas, with at least some of the additional capacity expected to reach Israel, according to officials and flight-tracking information.

American personnel have also been relocated from installations considered particularly vulnerable to Iranian missiles.

At the same time, U.S. forces are replenishing weapons inventories and preparing bombers and fighter aircraft for possible offensive missions.

The buildup is expected to expand next month with the arrival of another aircraft-carrier strike group and a Marine expeditionary unit.

Roughly 20 American warships are already operating in the Middle East, although some could depart as replacement vessels arrive.

White House Keeps Military Options Open

Despite the preparations, the administration has not confirmed that another attack will take place.

The White House declined to discuss "sensitive military plans that may or may not exist," while emphasizing that "President Trump keeps all options on the table to ensure that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon."

The Pentagon has characterized its responsibility as developing military courses of action for the president rather than determining whether any should be executed.

At Tuesday's rally, Trump said previous operations had destroyed Tehran's enrichment capabilities and inflicted wider military and financial damage, predicting that the confrontation would soon conclude.

Israel Prepares Strikes but Faces Military Constraints

Israel has developed separate operational plans and target lists for renewed attacks against Iran.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has advocated another round of strikes, but senior Israeli military officials have expressed reservations about the urgency and consequences of an immediate operation.

Military chief Eyal Zamir has assessed that a new offensive is not urgently required, while other commanders have warned that conspicuous preparations could encourage Tehran to launch pre-emptive attacks.

Israel's defensive missile inventories were heavily strained during the previous conflict, leaving Israeli planners dependent on additional American protection before undertaking another major offensive.

A proposed Israeli campaign lasting several days around October 10 was reportedly abandoned after Trump opposed the operation.

Iran Rebuilds Capabilities and Threatens Gulf Retaliation

The prospect of another campaign follows the war launched by the U.S. and Israel on February 28 under Operation Epic Fury.

Iran responded with missile and drone attacks across the region and restrictions on maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. A June memorandum of understanding intended to establish a framework for a broader settlement later broke down, with disputes over shipping access through the strait among the obstacles.

Tehran has since used the relative pause in fighting to restore some of its missile manufacturing capacity and strengthen defensive positions.

Iranian authorities have also warned that another attack could trigger retaliation against economic and civilian facilities in neighboring Gulf countries, including airports, pipelines and energy installations.

Diplomatic Efforts Show Limited Progress

Regional intermediaries continue seeking a diplomatic settlement, although negotiations have produced little movement.

Washington is maintaining economic pressure through sanctions and a naval blockade that has restricted Iranian oil exports.

The immediate question is whether Trump will turn the post-election preparations into an attack or use the prospect of concentrated military force to press Iran toward an agreement.

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